Guidehouse: Onderzoek lange termijn productie en inzet groen gas | 2025

Summary

The annual blending obligation in The Netherlands sets an ambition to achieve 3.8 million tonne of emissions reduction with the production of at least 1.1 billion cubic meters of renewable gas by 2030. After 2030, it is not clear how much renewable gas will be available, to which sectors it can best be delivered and whether an annual blending obligation should be extended. Guidehouse delivered a report on the long term production and use of green gas to support the Ministry of Climate and Green Growth in setting up a vision for the future on long-term production and use of green gas. For this, Guidehouse has provided an estimation of the supply of renewable gas in 2035, 2040 and 2050. In addition, the report provides an estimation of the possible renewable gas volumes that are needed in various sectors and cost of its use compared to other sustainable alternatives. Lastly, Guidehouse discusses several policy instruments that can help steer the use of green gas in certain sectors.

The report provide an analysis indicating that the use of renewable gas seems to be the most logical in the peak supply of electricity, in the peak supply for heat networks, in the ceramics sector and in the steel sector. Additionally, the use of green gas in the built environment, urea, inland shipping, maritime sector and greenhouse horticulture can be logical under certain conditions. For the road transport, methanol production, cement, food and paper subsectors, Guidehouse mentions that alternative sustainability options such as electricity transport, direct gasification of bio-based raw materials, or heat pumps to supply low-temperature heat appear to be more attractive than green gas due to lower costs and technical availability.

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Download the full report (in Dutch) by clicking here or on the right hand side.

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